On September 22, the marketplaces were jolted by news that Nvidia and OpenAI had actually signed a letter of intent to form a collaboration. According to reports, OpenAI will release a minimum of 10 gigawatts of information center capability on Nvidia’s computing systems to train and run its next-generation designs. To support that effort, Nvidia has actually vowed to invest as much as USD 100 billion in OpenAI in stages.
The very first round of financing is anticipated in the 2nd half of 2026, after OpenAI finishes its very first gigawatt-scale information. This center will be developed on Nvidia’s upcoming Vera Rubin platform. The offer raises essential concerns: how should the financial investment be analyzed, and what effect will it have on both Nvidia and OpenAI?
A capital video game of chips for equity
This USD 100 billion financial investment is not a simple money infusion. It looks like a structured exchange of calculating power for equity. Based upon disclosures, Nvidia’s phased financial investment will fund OpenAI’s information center growth, with an integrated capability of about 10 GW. Each tranche will be connected to building turning points, making sure the funds go particularly to facilities.
In return, OpenAI is anticipated to funnel the capital back into Nvidia’s environment by acquiring 4 to 5 million GPUs and associated systems developed on the Vera Rubin platform.
The outcome is a closed capital loop: Nvidia buys OpenAI, OpenAI purchases Nvidia’s chips, and the cash cycles back. It is less about one-time costs than about reorganizing property ownership.
For OpenAI, the plan protects access to Nvidia’s accelerators, makes sure massive computing capability, and deepens combination with Nvidia’s software application community. For Nvidia, it offers years of significant chip sales.
Throughout a revenues contact August, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang stated that developing a 1 GW information center costs USD 50– 60 billion, with approximately USD 35 billion going to Nvidia’s hardware. By that estimation, OpenAI’s prepared buildout would cost USD 500– 600 billion, of which about USD 350 billion would stream to Nvidia.
Nvidia’s USD 100 billion financial investment is likewise anticipated to protect a 25% stake in OpenAI, based upon the business’s reported assessment of USD 500 billion. That would provide Nvidia both an ensured hardware earnings stream and direct exposure to OpenAI’s software application earnings and longer-term advancements in synthetic basic intelligence.
The offer likewise signifies to the market that Nvidia’s supremacy in expert system facilities stays firm. It recommends that competitors is broadening beyond chip sales to consist of financing, innovation platforms, skill, and alliances.
Microsoft’s special collaboration under hazard
Microsoft has actually been OpenAI’s closest ally given that 2019, investing more than USD 13 billion in the business. In return, OpenAI made Microsoft Azure its special cloud company, transporting its computing requires into Azure’s information. This plan assisted anchor Azure’s development technique on OpenAI’s advancement of massive designs.
The collaboration likewise provided Microsoft the right to incorporate OpenAI’s innovations into a number of its core items, consisting of Office, Bing, and GitHub Copilot. That combination improved Microsoft’s software application into adaptive, AI-driven services and reinforced its position in business applications.
The exclusivity of the pact has actually damaged. OpenAI’s cooperation with Oracle was an early indication, and Nvidia’s financial investment might speed up the shift.
By moneying OpenAI, Nvidia minimizes the business’s reliance on Azure and reinforces its negotiating position. If OpenAI is no longer connected to Microsoft for calculate, Microsoft’s impact over its roadmap decreases. This might unlock for OpenAI to deal with other tech business, consisting of Google and Amazon, modifying the balance of competitors in used AI.
If that takes place, Microsoft’s benefit in AI applications might narrow.
Nvidia’s revaluation minute
For Nvidia, the OpenAI offer might improve how financiers value the business.
Previously, Nvidia has actually been seen mainly as a hardware business, based on cyclical need and big capital dedications. Software application business like OpenAI, by contrast, are valued more extremely for their scalability, repeating income, and lower limited expenses as soon as facilities remains in location.
By taking a substantial stake in OpenAI, Nvidia positions itself on both sides of AI’s development. It protects near-term chip income while getting direct exposure to longer-term, higher-margin software application development.
That double function might move Nvidia’s evaluation from being viewed as a hardware provider to an incorporated AI environment leader covering hardware, software application, and services.
There is precedent for such a shift. Apple’s assessment when fluctuated in line with iPhone sales cycles. As Apple broadened its software application and services, financiers started treating it as a community business, providing it steadier multiples and protecting it from hardware declines.
Nvidia might now be getting in a comparable stage. If so, this offer might mark the start of a brand-new assessment structure, driven not just by chips however likewise software application, collaborations, and advancements in synthetic basic intelligence.
KrASIA Connection includes equated and adjusted material that was initially released by 36Kr. This short article was composed by Ding Mao for 36Kr.

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